AS Roma vs Genoa CFC — prediction, odds & analysis

Match preview

AS Roma host Genoa CFC in Italian Serie A on 2026-10-17 18:45 UTC. Our model rates AS Roma win as the most likely 1X2 outcome at 71%, against bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Probabilities and odds

• AS Roma: model 71%, odds 1.33
• Draw: model 18%, odds 5.38
• Genoa CFC: model 11%, odds 8.51

Model confidence: 71%.

Recent form

• AS Roma (home games): 3W 2D 0L in the last 5 (13 scored, 4 conceded).
• Genoa CFC (away games): 1W 2D 2L in the last 5 (3 scored, 4 conceded).

Goals markets

Totals: model leans over 2.5 goals (54% confidence).

Both teams to score: no (53% confidence).

Context

• The available results do not provide reliable last-3-to-5-match W/D/L records for either Roma or Genoa.
• The two players have faced each other before on tour.

Risks

Probabilities are model estimates built from historical results and market odds; line-ups, injuries and late news can change the picture. No outcome is certain.

Full prediction and odds: AS Roma vs Genoa CFC.

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