AS Monaco FC vs Lille OSC — prediction, odds & analysis

Match preview

AS Monaco FC host Lille OSC in French Ligue 1 on 2026-10-25 14:00 UTC. Our model rates AS Monaco FC win as the most likely 1X2 outcome at 45%, against bookmaker odds of 1.92.

Probabilities and odds

• AS Monaco FC: model 45%, odds 1.92
• Draw: model 26%, odds 3.30
• Lille OSC: model 29%, odds 3.00

Model confidence: 45%.

Recent form

• AS Monaco FC (home games): 2W 2D 1L in the last 5 (8 scored, 6 conceded).
• Lille OSC (away games): 4W 0D 1L in the last 5 (6 scored, 2 conceded).

Goals markets

Totals: model leans over 2.5 goals (53% confidence).

Both teams to score: yes (53% confidence).

Context

• Lille: Ethan Mbappé is suspended for three Champions League matches, according to the available listing. Monaco: Christian Mawissa is suspended for one match after yellow-card accumulation; Folarin Balogun is suspended for one match after a red card; Paris Brunner has a one-match post-match sanction remaining.[1]
• Monaco coach Filipe Luis confirmed that Idumbo suffered a psoas injury in the Conference League win over CSKA Sofia and that Dier sustained a right quadriceps injury; Camara was reported available despite being forced off in that match.[7]

Risks

Probabilities are model estimates built from historical results and market odds; line-ups, injuries and late news can change the picture. No outcome is certain.

Full prediction and odds: AS Monaco FC vs Lille OSC.

Please gamble responsibly. Set limits, never chase losses, and remember that sports betting should be for entertainment only.