Real Madrid CF vs Sevilla FC — prediction, odds & analysis

Match preview

Real Madrid CF host Sevilla FC in Spanish La Liga on 2026-10-18 19:00 UTC. Our model rates Real Madrid CF win as the most likely 1X2 outcome at 76%, against bookmaker odds of 1.24.

Probabilities and odds

• Real Madrid CF: model 76%, odds 1.24
• Draw: model 15%, odds 6.45
• Sevilla FC: model 9%, odds 10.05

Model confidence: 76%.

Recent form

• Real Madrid CF (home games): 4W 1D 0L in the last 5 (11 scored, 5 conceded).
• Sevilla FC (away games): 1W 0D 1L in the last 2 (5 scored, 7 conceded).

Goals markets

Totals: model leans over 2.5 goals (58% confidence).

Both teams to score: yes (56% confidence).

Context

• Real Madrid defender Dean Huijsen is suspended for the October 18 match after a direct red card; Sevilla had no suspended players listed. Isaac Romero was also listed with a direct-red-card suspension, but the available report does not clearly confirm his status for this fixture.[6][7]
• The two players have faced each other before on tour.
• José Mourinho said Militão would not play against Sevilla despite progressing well, while Mendy had begun team training. Mbappé was expected to start after recovering from a knee issue; Valverde's availability was doubtful around the preceding league match.[5]

Risks

Probabilities are model estimates built from historical results and market odds; line-ups, injuries and late news can change the picture. No outcome is certain.

Full prediction and odds: Real Madrid CF vs Sevilla FC.

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